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A Bitcoin “super cycle” could be activated, according to Bitcoin Suisse
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A more likely price for bitcoin would be between $180,000 and $200,000 in 2025.
In line with the bullish projections currently circulating for the main digital currency, the investment company Bitcoin Suisse has reaffirmed its optimistic forecast.
“As we move towards 2025, we continue to observe the evolution of bitcoin market dynamics, aligned with our prediction of the peak of the cycle first issued in November 2023,” he notes in a new report.
This projection portends that bitcoin (BTC) is on track to set new all-time high prices. “Our models predict that bitcoin will reach cycle high valuations in the range of $180,000 to $200,000 (USD) throughout 2025,” it warns. However, it does not rule out higher levels if a “super bull cycle” forms.
The estimate is based on the Dynamic Cycle Risk and Dynamic On-Chain Cycle Risk analysis models. These indicators evaluate the cyclical risk and on-chain dynamics of the bitcoin market.
The investment company indicates that, at the beginning of 2024, the price of bitcoin entered a phase of increasing risk when it rose to USD 73,000, exceeding the peak of the bullish cycle in 2021. However, from a cyclical perspective, The models did not then predict an ideal moment for taking profits and something similar is seen now.
The price then consolidated in the range between USD 50,000 and USD 60,000, and has since increased significantly towards USD 100,000. Still, risk metrics suggest a substantially more stable price environment compared to the start of the year, Bitcoin Suisse highlights.
This can be seen in the following graph, which shows the price of bitcoin and the risk levels in the cycle, according to the indicators. Red indicates the possibility of a fall due to high profit taking and green the opposite, while nearby colors show intermediate scenarios.
BTC price cycles measured by its risk level. Source: Bitcoin Switzerland.
“Although on-chain risk remains high, it has not reached levels that justify taking profits,” he considers. Although long-term holders have shown selling pressure, this has been more than compensated by institutional buyers, he highlights.
This is especially channeled with the consistent demand for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) of bitcoin in the United States, which since its launch almost a year ago have absorbed the daily issuance of BTC multiple times.
Bitcoin would skyrocket in price if it captures a minimal fraction of global assets
Bitcoin, which represents just 0.2% of global financial assets, is significantly outperformed by traditional asset classes such as real estate, bonds and gold. However, its situation seems to be about to change, according to the financial company.
“Further institutional adoption—and possible imminent adoption by nation states through significant moves by large players like the United States—could dramatically alter its trajectory, destabilizing traditional markets and accelerating bitcoin’s exponential growth.”
Bitcoin Suisse, bitcoin investment company.
If bitcoin captured 5% to 10% of global assets, it would represent a total growth of 25 to 50 times from current levels. According to the investment company, this would imply a price for BTC of USD 2.5 million to USD 5 million. This estimate may reflect the long-term scenario of the currency, he warns.
According to the financial company, in the short term, Mass adoption could ignite a bullish “super cycle”driving bitcoin prices beyond $300,000, perhaps during 2025. Such a possibility aligns with the upper limits of its current trend projections.
“My expectation for the peak of the cycle is USD 300,000,” stated Sebastián Serrano, the CEO of the Ripio exchange, in a statement. interview with CriptoNoticias. “At the beginning of 2024, I thought it was coming very quickly, that everything was going to happen very quickly, but luckily it stopped a little. The longer it takes, the more it can develop,” he said.
In any case, as a more probable scenario, the businessman considers a scenario where bitcoin can easily arrive to be quoted between USD 150,000 and USD 200,000 by 2025. These are levels that other specialists are also projecting for next year, where it is estimated that it will be the maximum peak of the current bullish cycle.
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